Auckland city business and economy report 2008
Executive summary |
Past economic performance |
Relative international economic performance |
Economic structure |
Population |
Labour market |
Retail trade and tourism |
Building and property |
Inflation, interest rates and the exchange rate |
Focus on manufacturing |
Focus on Rosebank 2030 |
Economic outlook
| Auckland city in figures |
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Building and property
House prices increased in Auckland city in the year to
March 2008, yet the length of time to sell a home has increased and the number
of sales has declined.
The number of residential consents in Auckland city has
remained stable over the past two years and are below the long-term average.
The value of non-residential consents has declined over the
last two years due to low business confidence delaying or deferring investment.
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House prices in Auckland city increased by 7.8 per cent in
the year to March 2008, which was slightly above the 7.4 per cent increase to
March 2007. In the year to November 2007, annual house price inflation in the
city peaked at 12.1 per cent, although this is still below earlier peaks of
nearly 20 per cent experienced in 2004.
In the month of March 2008, Auckland city's median house
sale price was $510,000, matched by North Shore city. This is above the median
sale price in the region as a whole ($437,500) and New Zealand ($349,000).
The annual average number of days to sell a house, another
measure of market strength, has been increasing in Auckland city since September
2007. It sat at 32 days in the year to March 2008, similar to the 33 days in the
Auckland metropolitan area as a whole, but lower than the 36 days in New
Zealand.
An easing in house price inflation and an increase in the
average number of days to sell reflects a softening in New Zealand's housing
market.
House prices
Annual percentage change
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Source: Real Estate Institute of New Zealand.
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The volume of house sales in Auckland city has decreased to
8850 in the year to March 2008, from 11,546 in the year to March 2007. The
number of sales in the month of March 2008 decreased by 57 per cent on those in
March 2007. Similar changes have occurred in the rest of the region and the rest
of New Zealand.
There were 1864 new residential consents issued in the year
to March 2008, up 8.1 per cent on the previous year. Annual consents have
remained stable since March 2006 from a peak of 5622 in the year to December
2004. This reflects the easing in the housing market where lowered demand for
new houses, due to higher interest rates and affordability issues, has reduced
the number of new residential building consents.
The value of non-residential building consents decreased by
15 per cent to $499.6 million in the year to March 2008. This was mainly due to
a 25.4 per cent decrease in the value of consents for new works during this
period, a large share of which occurred in the last three quarters of 2007,
attributed in part to easing construction costs.
Consents for alterations to existing buildings comprise the
largest number of non-residential building consents. Valued at $233.3 million,
they increased by 3.0 per cent over the year to March 2008.
The outlook for building investment among businesses has
declined since the June 2007 quarter. The general business situation has also
deteriorated since the December 2004 quarter, to below levels not experienced
since June 1994.13 Businesses are cautious due to the increased cost of borrowing, uncertainty in
the domestic and international economies and other pressures on business
profitability. Firms may therefore delay or decrease their investment spending,
at least in the short-term.
Residential building activity in Auckland city
Annual new
residential consents issued
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Source: Statistics New Zealand.
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Value of non-residential building activity in Auckland city
Annual running total of the value of non-residential building consents
($million)
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Source: Statistics New Zealand.
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13
NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion.
Published August 2008